Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.531012 0.591858 0.657650 0.734207 0.821004 0.916541 1.029915
2025-03-09 0.441568 0.526448 0.625470 0.750100 0.903576 1.087423 1.325864
2025-03-16 0.381959 0.475694 0.590606 0.742962 0.941327 1.193113 1.540522
2025-03-23 0.344692 0.444766 0.572520 0.749344 0.990524 1.312013 1.779768
2025-03-30 0.309754 0.411633 0.546164 0.739241 1.013220 1.394128 1.974511
2025-04-06 0.283358 0.386493 0.526834 0.734891 1.040867 1.482877 2.185584
2025-04-13 0.253180 0.352989 0.492296 0.704603 1.026541 1.507272 2.300383
2025-04-20 0.238495 0.339870 0.485000 0.712421 1.068158 1.617637 2.559455
2025-04-27 0.225745 0.328286 0.478589 0.720324 1.109670 1.730667 2.834662
2025-05-04 0.213877 0.316920 0.471306 0.725718 1.146904 1.839403 3.114202
2025-05-11 0.202504 0.305336 0.462581 0.727663 1.178014 1.940069 3.390390
2025-05-18 0.193829 0.297229 0.458507 0.736497 1.220934 2.064314 3.723540
2025-05-25 0.180109 0.280364 0.439523 0.719375 1.218347 2.109696 3.917176
2025-06-01 0.173641 0.274790 0.438522 0.732829 1.271113 2.260822 4.337459
2025-06-08 0.163978 0.263231 0.426632 0.726045 1.286043 2.342217 4.626608
2025-06-15 0.157477 0.256490 0.422329 0.732249 1.325374 2.473864 5.037729
2025-06-22 0.148811 0.245477 0.409850 0.722406 1.332879 2.542998 5.322146
2025-06-29 0.141748 0.236783 0.400820 0.718168 1.350738 2.634528 5.668608
2025-07-06 0.131367 0.221645 0.379340 0.688657 1.315362 2.611618 5.747211
2025-07-13 0.127234 0.217381 0.377228 0.696275 1.356209 2.754592 6.239518
2025-07-20 0.123375 0.213366 0.375277 0.703976 1.397788 2.903351 6.767799
2025-07-27 0.119427 0.208943 0.372253 0.709231 1.434520 3.045025 7.299392
2025-08-03 0.115291 0.203926 0.367773 0.711126 1.464019 3.173129 7.815038